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An analytical framework to nowcast well being using mobile phone data. Big Data, the masses of digital breadcrumbs produced by the information technologies that humans use in their daily activities, allow us to scrutinize individual and collective behavior at an unprecedented scale, detail, and speed. Building on this opportunity we have the potential capability of creating a digital nervous system of our society, enabling the measurement, monitoring and prediction of relevant aspects of the socio economic structure in quasi real time 2. An intriguing question is whether and how measurements made on Big Data can yield high fidelity proxies of socio economic development and well being. Can we monitor and possibly predict the socio economic development of our societies just by observing human behavior, like human movements and social relationships, through the lens of Big Data This fascinating question, also stimulated by the United Nations in recent reports 2, 3. As a first result along this line a seminal work exploited a nationwide mobile phone dataset to discover that the diversity of social contacts of the inhabitants of a municipality is positively associated with a socio economic indicator of poverty, independently surveyed by the official statistics institutes 1. This result suggests that social behavior, to some extent, is a proxy for the economic status of a given territory. In machine learning, support vector machines SVMs, also support vector networks are supervised learning models with associated learning algorithms that analyze data. 39 Title Sixth Symposium on Statistical Inference in Linear Models. Organizer Prof Dr Francisco Carvalho, Unidade Departamental de Matemtica e Fsica, Instituto. By David Lillis, Ph. D. In the last article, we saw how to create a simple Generalized Linear Model on binary data using the glm command. We continue with the same. However, little effort has been put in investigating how human mobility affects, and is affected by, the socio economic development of a territory. Theoretical works suggest that human mobility is related to economic well being, as it could nourish economy and facilitate flows of people and goods, whereas constraints in the possibilities to move freely can diminish economic opportunities 3. The basis of a multiple linear regression is to assess whether one continuous dependent variable can be predicted from a set of independent or predictor variables. So, it is reasonable to investigate the role of human mobility with respect to the socio economic development of a given territory. In this paper we design a data driven analytical framework that uses Big Data to extract meaningful measures of human behavior and estimate indicators for the socio economic development. The analytical framework we propose is repeatable for different countries and geographic scales since it is based on mobile phone data, the so called CDRs Call Detail Records of calling and texting activity of users. Mobile phone data, indeed, can be retrieved in every country due to their worldwide diffusion 7 There are 6. Moreover, CDR data have proven to be a hi fi proxy for individuals movements and social interactions 2. We apply our analytical framework on large scale mobile phone data2. France using municipality level official statistics as external comparison measurements. We first define four individual measures derived from mobile phone data which describe different aspects of individual human behavior the volume of mobility, the diversity of mobility, the volume of sociality and the diversity of sociality. Though just a subset of the many possible behavioral aspects that can be extracted from mobile phone data, the four measures we consider in this paper are widely accepted by the scientific community and have been proven to capture important aspects of both human mobility 1. Each individual measure is computed for every user in our dataset based on locations and calls as recorded in the mobile phone data. In a second stage, we aggregate the four individual measures at the level of French municipalities and explore the correlations between the four measures and two external indicators of socio economic development. We find that the average mobility diversity of individuals resident in the same municipality exhibits a superior correlation degree with the socio economic indicators. We confirm these results against two different null models, an observation that allows us to reject the hypothesis that our discovery occurred by chance. Next, we build regression and classification models to predict the external socio economic indicators from the population density and the social and mobility measures aggregated at municipality scale. We show that the diversity of human mobility significantly adds a predictive power in both regression and classification models, substantially more than the diversity of social contacts and demographic measures such as population density, a factor that is known to be correlated with the intensity of human activities 4. The importance of this finding is twofold. On one side, it offers a new stimulus to social research Diversity is a key concept not only for natural ecosystems but also for the social ecosystems, and can be used to better understand the complexity of our interconnected society. On the other side, our results reveal the high potential of Big Data in providing representative, relatively inexpensive and readily available measures as proxies of socio economic development. Our analytical framework opens an interesting perspective to engineer official statistics processes to monitor human behavior through mobile phone data. New statistical indicators can be defined to describe and possibly nowcast the economic status of a territory, even when such measurements would be impossible using traditional censuses and surveys 2, 3. The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 revises the scientific literature relevant to our topic, Sect. 3 describes the proposed data driven analytical framework. In Sects. 4, 5 and 6 we apply our analytical framework on a nationwide mobile phone dataset covering several weeks of call activity in France. We introduce the mobile phone data in Sect. 4. Sect. 4. 2, and the computations of the measures on a nation wide mobile phone dataset in Sect. 4. In Sect. 5 we describe the results of the correlation analysis and validate them against two null models. 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